Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66% implied probability to a Jeddah high of 40°C or higher today, reflecting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula that has fueled above-average heat, including 41°C on May 6 and near-39°C yesterday at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Current hazy sunshine from dust-laden air—per AccuWeather and Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance—limits cloud interference, enabling intense solar heating amid low humidity around 40%, with model consensus (GFS, ECMWF analogs) projecting peaks of 38–40°C during afternoon hours. Recent NCM seasonal outlooks warn of 1–2°C above-normal May temperatures, boosting bets on escalation, though sea-breeze onset could cap intensity; monitor hourly airport observations for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 15?
40°C or higher 69%
39°C 22%
38°C 21%
37°C 3.9%
$18,478 Vol.
$18,478 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
4%
38°C
18%
39°C
22%
40°C or higher
70%
40°C or higher 69%
39°C 22%
38°C 21%
37°C 3.9%
$18,478 Vol.
$18,478 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
4%
38°C
18%
39°C
22%
40°C or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 66% implied probability to a Jeddah high of 40°C or higher today, reflecting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Arabian Peninsula that has fueled above-average heat, including 41°C on May 6 and near-39°C yesterday at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Current hazy sunshine from dust-laden air—per AccuWeather and Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance—limits cloud interference, enabling intense solar heating amid low humidity around 40%, with model consensus (GFS, ECMWF analogs) projecting peaks of 38–40°C during afternoon hours. Recent NCM seasonal outlooks warn of 1–2°C above-normal May temperatures, boosting bets on escalation, though sea-breeze onset could cap intensity; monitor hourly airport observations for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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