Recent forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies and easterly winds over Metro Manila on May 18, supporting a daily high near 34°C as the leading market outcome. This aligns with typical late-May conditions under a high-pressure ridge that promotes strong solar heating while limiting afternoon convection and rainfall. Historical May averages hover around 33–34°C, with recent days showing peaks of 35–36°C when humidity dips below 50 percent and cloud cover remains low. Model consensus points to modest intensification potential during peak afternoon hours, though any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or isolated showers could shift the reading one degree lower. Updated PAGASA guidance and official station observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport tomorrow afternoon will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 18 mai ?
34°C 35%
35°C 31%
33°C 19%
36°C 9.5%
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
19%
34°C
35%
35°C
31%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C ou plus
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 31%
33°C 19%
36°C 9.5%
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
19%
34°C
35%
35°C
31%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies and easterly winds over Metro Manila on May 18, supporting a daily high near 34°C as the leading market outcome. This aligns with typical late-May conditions under a high-pressure ridge that promotes strong solar heating while limiting afternoon convection and rainfall. Historical May averages hover around 33–34°C, with recent days showing peaks of 35–36°C when humidity dips below 50 percent and cloud cover remains low. Model consensus points to modest intensification potential during peak afternoon hours, though any unexpected sea-breeze strengthening or isolated showers could shift the reading one degree lower. Updated PAGASA guidance and official station observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport tomorrow afternoon will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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