Latest official forecasts indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms will moderate Shanghai's peak temperatures on August 16, 2026, keeping daily highs near the 29–31°C range amid subtropical summer humidity above 75%. Convective activity and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences are expected to suppress radiative heating, aligning with historical August averages around 30–32°C while reducing the likelihood of extremes above 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and timeanddate.com centers on a 30°C high with passing showers, explaining the strong market-implied odds favoring that outcome over warmer scenarios. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on August 15 could further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 16 août ?
30°C 60%
31°C 25%
29°C 11%
32°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$33,848 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$33,848 Vol.
16 août 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
60%
31°C
25%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 60%
31°C 25%
29°C 11%
32°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$33,848 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$33,848 Vol.
16 août 2026
25°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,934 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,827 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5,790 Vol.
11%
30°C
$4,886 Vol.
60%
31°C
$8,141 Vol.
25%
32°C
$3,565 Vol.
4%
33°C
$2,273 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,462 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms will moderate Shanghai's peak temperatures on August 16, 2026, keeping daily highs near the 29–31°C range amid subtropical summer humidity above 75%. Convective activity and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences are expected to suppress radiative heating, aligning with historical August averages around 30–32°C while reducing the likelihood of extremes above 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and timeanddate.com centers on a 30°C high with passing showers, explaining the strong market-implied odds favoring that outcome over warmer scenarios. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on August 15 could further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$33,848Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms will moderate Shanghai's peak temperatures on August 16, 2026, keeping daily highs near the 29–31°C range amid subtropical summer humidity above 75%. Convective activity and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences are expected to suppress radiative heating, aligning with historical August averages around 30–32°C while reducing the likelihood of extremes above 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and timeanddate.com centers on a 30°C high with passing showers, explaining the strong market-implied odds favoring that outcome over warmer scenarios. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on August 15 could further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,848Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms will moderate Shanghai's peak temperatures on August 16, 2026, keeping daily highs near the 29–31°C range amid subtropical summer humidity above 75%. Convective activity and cloud cover from regional monsoon influences are expected to suppress radiative heating, aligning with historical August averages around 30–32°C while reducing the likelihood of extremes above 32°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and timeanddate.com centers on a 30°C high with passing showers, explaining the strong market-implied odds favoring that outcome over warmer scenarios. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on August 15 could further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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