Latest numerical weather model consensus, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, supports a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical midsummer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze. This aligns with the market's dominant 72.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary 25.5% for 34°C, reflecting historical August coastal averages of 30–31°C plus modest warming from recent seasonal anomalies without an intense heatwave signature. Official Israeli Meteorological Service outlooks and ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 32°C given stable high-pressure influence and no significant frontal systems, keeping trader focus on fine-scale temperature verification thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 15 août ?
33°C 73%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$14,404 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,404 Vol.
15 août 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
73%
34°C
24%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 73%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$14,404 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,404 Vol.
15 août 2026
30°C or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,211 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,104 Vol.
5%
33°C
$3,500 Vol.
73%
34°C
$1,885 Vol.
24%
35°C
$1,000 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model consensus, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, supports a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical midsummer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze. This aligns with the market's dominant 72.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary 25.5% for 34°C, reflecting historical August coastal averages of 30–31°C plus modest warming from recent seasonal anomalies without an intense heatwave signature. Official Israeli Meteorological Service outlooks and ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 32°C given stable high-pressure influence and no significant frontal systems, keeping trader focus on fine-scale temperature verification thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,404Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model consensus, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, supports a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical midsummer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze. This aligns with the market's dominant 72.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary 25.5% for 34°C, reflecting historical August coastal averages of 30–31°C plus modest warming from recent seasonal anomalies without an intense heatwave signature. Official Israeli Meteorological Service outlooks and ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 32°C given stable high-pressure influence and no significant frontal systems, keeping trader focus on fine-scale temperature verification thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,404Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather model consensus, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, supports a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical midsummer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze. This aligns with the market's dominant 72.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary 25.5% for 34°C, reflecting historical August coastal averages of 30–31°C plus modest warming from recent seasonal anomalies without an intense heatwave signature. Official Israeli Meteorological Service outlooks and ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 32°C given stable high-pressure influence and no significant frontal systems, keeping trader focus on fine-scale temperature verification thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes