Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$68,699 Vol.
$68,699 Vol.
16 mai 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$68,699 Vol.
$68,699 Vol.
16 mai 2026
12°C or below
$8,080 Vol.
No
13°C
$15,774 Vol.
No
14°C
$7,643 Vol.
No
15°C
$11,737 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$7,568 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,298 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,283 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,267 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,392 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,620 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$3,040 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$68,699Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,699Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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