Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a strong likelihood of the daily high reaching 19°C or above on May 18, driven by a persistent warm air mass advected from the southwest under weak high-pressure influence. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows surface temperatures climbing into the upper teens Celsius during peak afternoon heating, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting further warming. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May in central Poland, where average highs typically approach 18–20°C, though recent runs suggest slightly above-normal conditions without significant frontal intrusions. Traders are pricing in this trajectory, with resolution hinging on official observations from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 18 mai ?
19°C or higher 76%
18°C 13%
17°C 6%
16°C 1.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
76%
19°C or higher 76%
18°C 13%
17°C 6%
16°C 1.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
9°C or below
$582 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,210 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$246 Vol.
1%
14°C
$858 Vol.
1%
15°C
$689 Vol.
1%
16°C
$903 Vol.
1%
17°C
$724 Vol.
6%
18°C
$691 Vol.
13%
19°C or higher
$665 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a strong likelihood of the daily high reaching 19°C or above on May 18, driven by a persistent warm air mass advected from the southwest under weak high-pressure influence. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows surface temperatures climbing into the upper teens Celsius during peak afternoon heating, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting further warming. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May in central Poland, where average highs typically approach 18–20°C, though recent runs suggest slightly above-normal conditions without significant frontal intrusions. Traders are pricing in this trajectory, with resolution hinging on official observations from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,750Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a strong likelihood of the daily high reaching 19°C or above on May 18, driven by a persistent warm air mass advected from the southwest under weak high-pressure influence. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows surface temperatures climbing into the upper teens Celsius during peak afternoon heating, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting further warming. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May in central Poland, where average highs typically approach 18–20°C, though recent runs suggest slightly above-normal conditions without significant frontal intrusions. Traders are pricing in this trajectory, with resolution hinging on official observations from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,750Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWACurrent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a strong likelihood of the daily high reaching 19°C or above on May 18, driven by a persistent warm air mass advected from the southwest under weak high-pressure influence. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS shows surface temperatures climbing into the upper teens Celsius during peak afternoon heating, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting further warming. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May in central Poland, where average highs typically approach 18–20°C, though recent runs suggest slightly above-normal conditions without significant frontal intrusions. Traders are pricing in this trajectory, with resolution hinging on official observations from the Warsaw Chopin Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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