**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 17, 2026, daily maximum temperature is overwhelmingly concentrated on 25°C (94.5% implied probability), reflecting strong model and observational consensus around a moderate high typical for mid-September in the region.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and local meteorological updates, consistently project afternoon highs of 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with Zhengzhou’s climatological September average high near 26°C, tempered by recent synoptic patterns that have kept daytime temperatures from surging. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international models show tight agreement on this range, with no major model spread or unexpected warming signals emerging in the final 24–48 hours. The 25°C outcome sits at the center of the forecast envelope, supported by real-time surface observations trending toward a peak in that vicinity. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result include a late-day clearing that allows temperatures to edge to 26°C, or slightly stronger cloud cover and mixing that caps the high at 24°C—both within the normal uncertainty range of short-range temperature forecasts. Resolution will depend on the official station reading (likely from the Zhengzhou national reference site) once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 17 septembre ?
25°C 96%
26°C 3%
28°C 1.0%
31°C <1%
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
96%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 96%
26°C 3%
28°C 1.0%
31°C <1%
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
96%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 17, 2026, daily maximum temperature is overwhelmingly concentrated on 25°C (94.5% implied probability), reflecting strong model and observational consensus around a moderate high typical for mid-September in the region.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based models and local meteorological updates, consistently project afternoon highs of 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with Zhengzhou’s climatological September average high near 26°C, tempered by recent synoptic patterns that have kept daytime temperatures from surging. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international models show tight agreement on this range, with no major model spread or unexpected warming signals emerging in the final 24–48 hours. The 25°C outcome sits at the center of the forecast envelope, supported by real-time surface observations trending toward a peak in that vicinity. Scenarios that could realistically shift the result include a late-day clearing that allows temperatures to edge to 26°C, or slightly stronger cloud cover and mixing that caps the high at 24°C—both within the normal uncertainty range of short-range temperature forecasts. Resolution will depend on the official station reading (likely from the Zhengzhou national reference site) once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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