Recent short-range forecast model runs for Zhengzhou show ensemble spreads centered on 26–29°C maxima under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Seasonal climatology places mid-September daily highs near 26–27°C, while current synoptic conditions—persistent cloud cover and modest moisture—limit strong diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty in the precise peak value depending on any afternoon clearing. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance against historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 18 septembre ?
26°C 39%
25°C 31%
29°C 23%
28°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
31%
26°C
39%
27°C
21%
28°C
21%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C
6%
32°C ou plus
4%
26°C 39%
25°C 31%
29°C 23%
28°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs for Zhengzhou show ensemble spreads centered on 26–29°C maxima under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Seasonal climatology places mid-September daily highs near 26–27°C, while current synoptic conditions—persistent cloud cover and modest moisture—limit strong diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty in the precise peak value depending on any afternoon clearing. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance against historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs for Zhengzhou show ensemble spreads centered on 26–29°C maxima under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Seasonal climatology places mid-September daily highs near 26–27°C, while current synoptic conditions—persistent cloud cover and modest moisture—limit strong diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty in the precise peak value depending on any afternoon clearing. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance against historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs for Zhengzhou show ensemble spreads centered on 26–29°C maxima under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Seasonal climatology places mid-September daily highs near 26–27°C, while current synoptic conditions—persistent cloud cover and modest moisture—limit strong diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty in the precise peak value depending on any afternoon clearing. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance against historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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