SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with pricing targeted for June 11 and a Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, has anchored trader consensus around a June resolution at 94.0% implied probability. Faster-than-expected SEC review of the confidential S-1 filing has compressed the schedule from a late-June target, supported by robust institutional demand and a valuation exceeding $1.8 trillion amid strong secondary trading activity. This positioning reflects aggregated capital at risk pricing in a clear regulatory pathway and favorable market conditions. Scenarios that could still shift odds include unexpected governance objections from institutional investors or broader equity-market volatility delaying the roadshow launch.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJuin 94%
Juillet 4.9%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027 <1%
Septembre <1%
$366,090 Vol.
$366,090 Vol.
Mai
<1%
Juin
94%
Juillet
5%
Août
<1%
Septembre
1%
Octobre
<1%
Novembre
<1%
Décembre
<1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
1%
Juin 94%
Juillet 4.9%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027 <1%
Septembre <1%
$366,090 Vol.
$366,090 Vol.
Mai
<1%
Juin
94%
Juillet
5%
Août
<1%
Septembre
1%
Octobre
<1%
Novembre
<1%
Décembre
<1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with pricing targeted for June 11 and a Nasdaq debut as early as June 12 under ticker SPCX, has anchored trader consensus around a June resolution at 94.0% implied probability. Faster-than-expected SEC review of the confidential S-1 filing has compressed the schedule from a late-June target, supported by robust institutional demand and a valuation exceeding $1.8 trillion amid strong secondary trading activity. This positioning reflects aggregated capital at risk pricing in a clear regulatory pathway and favorable market conditions. Scenarios that could still shift odds include unexpected governance objections from institutional investors or broader equity-market volatility delaying the roadshow launch.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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