Strava's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and subsequent draft submission have intensified trader focus on its spring listing, with 180 million registered users and $415 million in 2025 revenue (up 18.5% year-over-year) driving 39.5% implied odds for a 15B+ market cap, reflecting optimism for its social fitness platform amid Gen Z's run club surge and acquisitions like Runna. Yet, closely contested 34.5% odds for 2B–3B align with its $2.2 billion private valuation, tempered by low 3–5% premium subscription conversion and fierce competition from Apple Fitness+, Garmin wearables, and Whoop's analytics. Differentiators—athlete community engagement and multi-device data aggregation—could unlock higher multiples, pending public prospectus, roadshow details, and IPO market conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourStrava IPO Closing Market Cap
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
$85,532 Vol.
$85,532 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<2 Md$
19%
2–3 milliards
35%
3–4 milliards
5%
4–5 milliards $
20%
5–7 milliards
4%
7 à 10 milliards
3%
10–15 Mds$
6%
15 milliards $+
25%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
10%
$85,532 Vol.
$85,532 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<2 Md$
$794 Vol.
19%
2–3 milliards
$53,833 Vol.
35%
3–4 milliards
$24,938 Vol.
5%
4–5 milliards $
$1,064 Vol.
20%
5–7 milliards
$829 Vol.
4%
7 à 10 milliards
$861 Vol.
3%
10–15 Mds$
$1,539 Vol.
6%
15 milliards $+
$1,137 Vol.
25%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
$536 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and subsequent draft submission have intensified trader focus on its spring listing, with 180 million registered users and $415 million in 2025 revenue (up 18.5% year-over-year) driving 39.5% implied odds for a 15B+ market cap, reflecting optimism for its social fitness platform amid Gen Z's run club surge and acquisitions like Runna. Yet, closely contested 34.5% odds for 2B–3B align with its $2.2 billion private valuation, tempered by low 3–5% premium subscription conversion and fierce competition from Apple Fitness+, Garmin wearables, and Whoop's analytics. Differentiators—athlete community engagement and multi-device data aggregation—could unlock higher multiples, pending public prospectus, roadshow details, and IPO market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$85,532Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and subsequent draft submission have intensified trader focus on its spring listing, with 180 million registered users and $415 million in 2025 revenue (up 18.5% year-over-year) driving 39.5% implied odds for a 15B+ market cap, reflecting optimism for its social fitness platform amid Gen Z's run club surge and acquisitions like Runna. Yet, closely contested 34.5% odds for 2B–3B align with its $2.2 billion private valuation, tempered by low 3–5% premium subscription conversion and fierce competition from Apple Fitness+, Garmin wearables, and Whoop's analytics. Differentiators—athlete community engagement and multi-device data aggregation—could unlock higher multiples, pending public prospectus, roadshow details, and IPO market conditions.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$85,532Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and subsequent draft submission have intensified trader focus on its spring listing, with 180 million registered users and $415 million in 2025 revenue (up 18.5% year-over-year) driving 39.5% implied odds for a 15B+ market cap, reflecting optimism for its social fitness platform amid Gen Z's run club surge and acquisitions like Runna. Yet, closely contested 34.5% odds for 2B–3B align with its $2.2 billion private valuation, tempered by low 3–5% premium subscription conversion and fierce competition from Apple Fitness+, Garmin wearables, and Whoop's analytics. Differentiators—athlete community engagement and multi-device data aggregation—could unlock higher multiples, pending public prospectus, roadshow details, and IPO market conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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