SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for as early as June 12 following a June 4 roadshow and June 11 pricing, has anchored trader consensus at a 93.5% implied probability for a June debut. Recent Reuters reporting highlights faster-than-expected SEC review progress and a planned $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation, reinforcing the near-term window amid strong institutional and retail demand signals. While this positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, a prolonged regulatory delay, adverse equity market conditions, or an internal shift in execution could still open the door to a July or later resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJuin 94%
Juillet 5.4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027 <1%
Septembre <1%
$366,924 Vol.
$366,924 Vol.
Mai
<1%
Juin
94%
Juillet
5%
Août
<1%
Septembre
1%
Octobre
<1%
Novembre
<1%
Décembre
<1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
1%
Juin 94%
Juillet 5.4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027 <1%
Septembre <1%
$366,924 Vol.
$366,924 Vol.
Mai
<1%
Juin
94%
Juillet
5%
Août
<1%
Septembre
1%
Octobre
<1%
Novembre
<1%
Décembre
<1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for as early as June 12 following a June 4 roadshow and June 11 pricing, has anchored trader consensus at a 93.5% implied probability for a June debut. Recent Reuters reporting highlights faster-than-expected SEC review progress and a planned $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation, reinforcing the near-term window amid strong institutional and retail demand signals. While this positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, a prolonged regulatory delay, adverse equity market conditions, or an internal shift in execution could still open the door to a July or later resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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