**The Central Elections Committee rejected petitions on September 24 to disqualify the Religious Zionism–Zehut (RZP-Zehut) list from the October 27 Knesset election, voting against barring the slate alongside similar rejections for Otzma Yehudit and the Democrats.** This followed the committee’s earlier disqualifications of Arab-majority lists such as Ra’am and the Joint List, which face likely Supreme Court reversal based on past precedent. RZP-Zehut, formed via a September technical bloc between Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party and Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut, cleared the candidate-list submission deadline in early September and remains on the ballot without successful challenges under Section 7A of the Basic Law: The Knesset. Traders assign a 99.2% implied probability to “No” because the committee decision removed the primary procedural hurdle, the Supreme Court review window is narrow ahead of the vote, and no subsequent disqualifying developments have emerged. The only realistic paths to an effective ban would require an unexpected late Supreme Court reversal or a new, unforeseen legal challenge succeeding before election day—both viewed as low-probability events given institutional patterns and timing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourView resolved

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