Israeli forces have conducted ground operations and maintained positions in southern Lebanon since March 2026 amid renewed hostilities with Hezbollah, triggered by the 2026 Iran conflict, while conducting targeted airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs. U.S.-brokered talks in Rome focus on pilot zones, phased withdrawals, and Hezbollah disarmament, with a fragile ceasefire framework in place that Israeli officials have conditioned on security guarantees rather than deeper advances northward. Recent incidents, including cross-border fire and soldier deaths, have prompted limited retaliatory strikes but no shift toward urban operations in the capital. Trader consensus assigns low probability to entry by late August due to these diplomatic and operational constraints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
Les forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
$137,155 Vol.
30 août 2026
31 août
2%
$137,155 Vol.
31 août
$7,242 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces have conducted ground operations and maintained positions in southern Lebanon since March 2026 amid renewed hostilities with Hezbollah, triggered by the 2026 Iran conflict, while conducting targeted airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs. U.S.-brokered talks in Rome focus on pilot zones, phased withdrawals, and Hezbollah disarmament, with a fragile ceasefire framework in place that Israeli officials have conditioned on security guarantees rather than deeper advances northward. Recent incidents, including cross-border fire and soldier deaths, have prompted limited retaliatory strikes but no shift toward urban operations in the capital. Trader consensus assigns low probability to entry by late August due to these diplomatic and operational constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$137,155Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces have conducted ground operations and maintained positions in southern Lebanon since March 2026 amid renewed hostilities with Hezbollah, triggered by the 2026 Iran conflict, while conducting targeted airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs. U.S.-brokered talks in Rome focus on pilot zones, phased withdrawals, and Hezbollah disarmament, with a fragile ceasefire framework in place that Israeli officials have conditioned on security guarantees rather than deeper advances northward. Recent incidents, including cross-border fire and soldier deaths, have prompted limited retaliatory strikes but no shift toward urban operations in the capital. Trader consensus assigns low probability to entry by late August due to these diplomatic and operational constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$137,155Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces have conducted ground operations and maintained positions in southern Lebanon since March 2026 amid renewed hostilities with Hezbollah, triggered by the 2026 Iran conflict, while conducting targeted airstrikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Beirut's southern suburbs. U.S.-brokered talks in Rome focus on pilot zones, phased withdrawals, and Hezbollah disarmament, with a fragile ceasefire framework in place that Israeli officials have conditioned on security guarantees rather than deeper advances northward. Recent incidents, including cross-border fire and soldier deaths, have prompted limited retaliatory strikes but no shift toward urban operations in the capital. Trader consensus assigns low probability to entry by late August due to these diplomatic and operational constraints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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