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Politique·Primaires

KY-06 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine

icon for KY-06 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine
Politique·Primaires

KY-06 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine

Ralph Alvarado 99.3%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Adam Perez Arquette <1%

Gavin Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$25,331 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado 99.3%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Adam Perez Arquette <1%

Gavin Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$25,331 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado

$11,370 Vol.

99%

Greg Plucinski

$1,055 Vol.

1%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,987 Vol.

1%

Gavin Solomon

$1,998 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Dotson

$8,921 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ralph Alvarado holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District ahead of the May 19 vote, driven by President Donald Trump's May endorsement that positioned him as a strong "America First" contender with ties to the MAGA movement. Alvarado, a former state senator and physician, has also secured backing from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Speaker Mike Johnson, and several Kentucky Republican lawmakers, reinforcing his frontrunner status in a crowded field that includes state Representative Ryan Dotson and Greg Plucinski. Trader consensus in the prediction market reflects these endorsements and Alvarado's established name recognition in central Kentucky, though any last-minute shifts in voter turnout or unexpected campaign developments could still influence the final tally before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$25,331
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ralph Alvarado holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Kentucky's 6th Congressional District ahead of the May 19 vote, driven by President Donald Trump's May endorsement that positioned him as a strong "America First" contender with ties to the MAGA movement. Alvarado, a former state senator and physician, has also secured backing from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Speaker Mike Johnson, and several Kentucky Republican lawmakers, reinforcing his frontrunner status in a crowded field that includes state Representative Ryan Dotson and Greg Plucinski. Trader consensus in the prediction market reflects these endorsements and Alvarado's established name recognition in central Kentucky, though any last-minute shifts in voter turnout or unexpected campaign developments could still influence the final tally before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$25,331
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« KY-06 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ralph Alvarado » à 99%, suivi de « Greg Plucinski » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « KY-06 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine » a généré $25.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 18, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « KY-06 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « KY-06 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine » est « Ralph Alvarado » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Greg Plucinski » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « KY-06 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.