Recent cold fronts tracking along South Africa's west coast have sustained cooler maritime air masses over Cape Town, with South African Weather Service guidance and numerical models projecting an overnight minimum near 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds on August 21. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to suppress temperature drops, aligning closely with late-August climatological averages of 9–11°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 59% implied probability for 11°C and clustered support around 9–10°C stems from this stable forecast consensus, while lower outcomes (6–8°C) remain possible only if stronger winds or clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current model runs. Updated official observations later today will refine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 21 août ?
6°C 60%
7°C 60%
8°C 60%
9°C 34%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
60%
7°C
60%
8°C
60%
9°C
34%
10°C
34%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
6°C 60%
7°C 60%
8°C 60%
9°C 34%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
5°C or below
$92 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$98 Vol.
60%
7°C
$92 Vol.
60%
8°C
$87 Vol.
60%
9°C
$6 Vol.
34%
10°C
$0 Vol.
34%
11°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts tracking along South Africa's west coast have sustained cooler maritime air masses over Cape Town, with South African Weather Service guidance and numerical models projecting an overnight minimum near 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds on August 21. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to suppress temperature drops, aligning closely with late-August climatological averages of 9–11°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 59% implied probability for 11°C and clustered support around 9–10°C stems from this stable forecast consensus, while lower outcomes (6–8°C) remain possible only if stronger winds or clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current model runs. Updated official observations later today will refine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,048Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts tracking along South Africa's west coast have sustained cooler maritime air masses over Cape Town, with South African Weather Service guidance and numerical models projecting an overnight minimum near 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds on August 21. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to suppress temperature drops, aligning closely with late-August climatological averages of 9–11°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 59% implied probability for 11°C and clustered support around 9–10°C stems from this stable forecast consensus, while lower outcomes (6–8°C) remain possible only if stronger winds or clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current model runs. Updated official observations later today will refine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,048Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold fronts tracking along South Africa's west coast have sustained cooler maritime air masses over Cape Town, with South African Weather Service guidance and numerical models projecting an overnight minimum near 9–11°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds on August 21. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to suppress temperature drops, aligning closely with late-August climatological averages of 9–11°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 59% implied probability for 11°C and clustered support around 9–10°C stems from this stable forecast consensus, while lower outcomes (6–8°C) remain possible only if stronger winds or clearer skies enhance cooling beyond current model runs. Updated official observations later today will refine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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