**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, 2026, reflecting stable tropical conditions with minimal overnight cooling.** In this equatorial location, persistent high humidity (often 70-90%), cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative heat loss, keeping nighttime lows typically within 24-27°C during September. Official forecasts and recent observations align on an overnight low near 25-26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where the monthly mean minimum hovers around 23-26°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C indicates traders view significant deviation as improbable absent major shifts in atmospheric conditions. Lower outcomes (e.g., 22°C or below) would require atypical clear skies or unusual subsidence, which current model runs and real-time data do not support. Resolution hinges on verified station measurements from sources like the Malaysian Meteorological Department, with any final adjustment possible only from post-day verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Kuala Lumpur le 14 septembre ?
26°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
20°C <1%
$723 Vol.
$723 Vol.
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
26°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
20°C <1%
$723 Vol.
$723 Vol.
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, 2026, reflecting stable tropical conditions with minimal overnight cooling.** In this equatorial location, persistent high humidity (often 70-90%), cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative heat loss, keeping nighttime lows typically within 24-27°C during September. Official forecasts and recent observations align on an overnight low near 25-26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where the monthly mean minimum hovers around 23-26°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C indicates traders view significant deviation as improbable absent major shifts in atmospheric conditions. Lower outcomes (e.g., 22°C or below) would require atypical clear skies or unusual subsidence, which current model runs and real-time data do not support. Resolution hinges on verified station measurements from sources like the Malaysian Meteorological Department, with any final adjustment possible only from post-day verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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