Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 16–18°C in London on August 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiational cooling under light easterly flow and surface pressures near 1015 hPa. These conditions limit cloud cover and wind mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 17°C (35.5%), 16°C (26%), and 18°C (22%). Urban heat-island effects in central London and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture introduce the main uncertainty, with any increase in low cloud or wind likely pushing the low toward the upper end of the range. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the final value.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 25 août ?
17°C 36%
16°C 27%
18°C 22%
15°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
10%
16°C
27%
17°C
36%
18°C
22%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C ou plus
1%
17°C 36%
16°C 27%
18°C 22%
15°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
11°C ou moins
$210 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$10 Vol.
1%
13°C
$80 Vol.
1%
14°C
$130 Vol.
5%
15°C
$41 Vol.
10%
16°C
$1,312 Vol.
27%
17°C
$947 Vol.
36%
18°C
$316 Vol.
22%
19°C
$106 Vol.
3%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 16–18°C in London on August 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiational cooling under light easterly flow and surface pressures near 1015 hPa. These conditions limit cloud cover and wind mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 17°C (35.5%), 16°C (26%), and 18°C (22%). Urban heat-island effects in central London and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture introduce the main uncertainty, with any increase in low cloud or wind likely pushing the low toward the upper end of the range. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the final value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,162Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 16–18°C in London on August 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiational cooling under light easterly flow and surface pressures near 1015 hPa. These conditions limit cloud cover and wind mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 17°C (35.5%), 16°C (26%), and 18°C (22%). Urban heat-island effects in central London and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture introduce the main uncertainty, with any increase in low cloud or wind likely pushing the low toward the upper end of the range. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the final value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,162Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 16–18°C in London on August 25, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiational cooling under light easterly flow and surface pressures near 1015 hPa. These conditions limit cloud cover and wind mixing, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 17°C (35.5%), 16°C (26%), and 18°C (22%). Urban heat-island effects in central London and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture introduce the main uncertainty, with any increase in low cloud or wind likely pushing the low toward the upper end of the range. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the final value.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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