Recent model consensus from Russian meteorological services and international ensembles points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Moscow on August 22, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C because small differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can shift the low by 1–2°C. Persistent overcast skies limit surface heat loss while any brief clearing or timing of light showers could allow brief radiative drops toward 11°C or keep readings closer to 14°C; humidity near 70–80% and weak pressure gradients further moderate extremes. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs show minimal spread in the boundary layer, keeping higher or sub-10°C outcomes as lower-probability tails until final observational adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 22 août ?
La température la plus basse à Moscou le 22 août ?
16°C or higher 75%
6°C or below 50%
13°C 42%
9°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
6°C or below
50%
7°C
25%
8°C
37%
9°C
40%
10°C
29%
11°C
39%
12°C
43%
13°C
42%
14°C
39%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
75%
16°C or higher 75%
6°C or below 50%
13°C 42%
9°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 août 2026
6°C or below
$133 Vol.
50%
7°C
$70 Vol.
25%
8°C
$30 Vol.
37%
9°C
$22 Vol.
40%
10°C
$23 Vol.
29%
11°C
$23 Vol.
39%
12°C
$31 Vol.
43%
13°C
$22 Vol.
42%
14°C
$22 Vol.
39%
15°C
$77 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$99 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Russian meteorological services and international ensembles points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Moscow on August 22, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C because small differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can shift the low by 1–2°C. Persistent overcast skies limit surface heat loss while any brief clearing or timing of light showers could allow brief radiative drops toward 11°C or keep readings closer to 14°C; humidity near 70–80% and weak pressure gradients further moderate extremes. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs show minimal spread in the boundary layer, keeping higher or sub-10°C outcomes as lower-probability tails until final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$550Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Russian meteorological services and international ensembles points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Moscow on August 22, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C because small differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can shift the low by 1–2°C. Persistent overcast skies limit surface heat loss while any brief clearing or timing of light showers could allow brief radiative drops toward 11°C or keep readings closer to 14°C; humidity near 70–80% and weak pressure gradients further moderate extremes. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs show minimal spread in the boundary layer, keeping higher or sub-10°C outcomes as lower-probability tails until final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$550Date de fin
22 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Russian meteorological services and international ensembles points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for Moscow on August 22, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 11–13°C because small differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can shift the low by 1–2°C. Persistent overcast skies limit surface heat loss while any brief clearing or timing of light showers could allow brief radiative drops toward 11°C or keep readings closer to 14°C; humidity near 70–80% and weak pressure gradients further moderate extremes. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs show minimal spread in the boundary layer, keeping higher or sub-10°C outcomes as lower-probability tails until final observational adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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