Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 18 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 18 juin ?
18°C 43%
19°C 30%
17°C 9%
20°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
43%
19°C
30%
20°C
6%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C ou plus
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 30%
17°C 9%
20°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 juin 2026
13°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$336 Vol.
1%
15°C
$253 Vol.
1%
16°C
$108 Vol.
1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
9%
18°C
$175 Vol.
43%
19°C
$216 Vol.
30%
20°C
$219 Vol.
6%
21°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
1%
23°C ou plus
$550 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,114Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,114Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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