Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance converges on an overnight low near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, driving the dominant market consensus through moderate radiative cooling under high pressure and partly cloudy skies amid a northerly flow. This aligns with mid-May climatological baselines, where daytime recovery to 18–19°C limits further cooling while historical averages for the period cluster around 9–11°C. Updated model runs show tight agreement on this range, with limited variability from steering patterns or moisture. Unexpected increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind could modestly suppress cooling and push readings toward 11°C, though current observational trends and short-range forecasts leave little room for deviation below 9°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 17 mai ?
10°C 97.0%
9°C 2.4%
11°C <1%
8°C <1%
2°C ou moins
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
97%
11°C
1%
12°C ou plus
<1%
10°C 97.0%
9°C 2.4%
11°C <1%
8°C <1%
2°C ou moins
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
97%
11°C
1%
12°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance converges on an overnight low near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, driving the dominant market consensus through moderate radiative cooling under high pressure and partly cloudy skies amid a northerly flow. This aligns with mid-May climatological baselines, where daytime recovery to 18–19°C limits further cooling while historical averages for the period cluster around 9–11°C. Updated model runs show tight agreement on this range, with limited variability from steering patterns or moisture. Unexpected increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind could modestly suppress cooling and push readings toward 11°C, though current observational trends and short-range forecasts leave little room for deviation below 9°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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