Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely overnight minimum of 23–25°C in Qingdao on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market odds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds off the Yellow Sea maintain marine moderation near typical August climatology of 23°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal temperature advection overnight, with any breaks in overcast conditions or localized sea-breeze shifts potentially allowing a dip toward 22°C or holding the low near 25°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around the leading outcomes and the negligible probability assigned to extremes below 21°C or above 26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Qingdao le 21 août ?
La température la plus basse à Qingdao le 21 août ?
22°C 60%
21°C 44%
25°C 35%
23°C 34%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
44%
22°C
60%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
35%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 60%
21°C 44%
25°C 35%
23°C 34%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
19°C or below
$49 Vol.
1%
20°C
$28 Vol.
1%
21°C
$98 Vol.
44%
22°C
$100 Vol.
60%
23°C
$0 Vol.
34%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
35%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely overnight minimum of 23–25°C in Qingdao on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market odds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds off the Yellow Sea maintain marine moderation near typical August climatology of 23°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal temperature advection overnight, with any breaks in overcast conditions or localized sea-breeze shifts potentially allowing a dip toward 22°C or holding the low near 25°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around the leading outcomes and the negligible probability assigned to extremes below 21°C or above 26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$665Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely overnight minimum of 23–25°C in Qingdao on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market odds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds off the Yellow Sea maintain marine moderation near typical August climatology of 23°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal temperature advection overnight, with any breaks in overcast conditions or localized sea-breeze shifts potentially allowing a dip toward 22°C or holding the low near 25°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around the leading outcomes and the negligible probability assigned to extremes below 21°C or above 26°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$665Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely overnight minimum of 23–25°C in Qingdao on August 21, consistent with the closely matched market odds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while light easterly winds off the Yellow Sea maintain marine moderation near typical August climatology of 23°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal temperature advection overnight, with any breaks in overcast conditions or localized sea-breeze shifts potentially allowing a dip toward 22°C or holding the low near 25°C. These variables explain the tight clustering around the leading outcomes and the negligible probability assigned to extremes below 21°C or above 26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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