Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 13 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 13 mai ?
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,733 Vol.
$17,733 Vol.
13 mai 2026
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$17,733 Vol.
$17,733 Vol.
13 mai 2026
14°C ou moins
$1,780 Vol.
Non
15°C
$1,114 Vol.
Non
16°C
$989 Vol.
Non
17°C
$1,007 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,583 Vol.
Non
19°C
$4,663 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$2,619 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,349 Vol.
Non
22°C
$773 Vol.
Non
23°C
$521 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$334 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$17,733Date de fin
13 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,733Date de fin
13 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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