**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 10 lowest temperature reflects tight uncertainty between a 16°C low (54% implied probability) and 15°C or below (47.5%), with higher outcomes near zero.** Forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of roughly 16–17°C (61–63°F), driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer patches or slightly stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip to 15°C or lower in some areas, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat effects support a 16°C floor. This balance explains the near-even split: official guidance and ensemble outputs show minimal spread, but small variations in timing of clearing or local microclimates keep both outcomes viable. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past day, keeping the market tightly contested around these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Zhengzhou le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Zhengzhou le 10 septembre ?
16°C 99.5%
15°C ou moins 1.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,251 Vol.
$3,251 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
Non
16°C
Oui
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C ou plus
Non
16°C 99.5%
15°C ou moins 1.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,251 Vol.
$3,251 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$689 Vol.
Non
16°C
$172 Vol.
Oui
17°C
$2,181 Vol.
Non
18°C
$25 Vol.
Non
19°C
$25 Vol.
Non
20°C
$25 Vol.
Non
21°C
$25 Vol.
Non
22°C
$25 Vol.
Non
23°C
$25 Vol.
Non
24°C
$25 Vol.
Non
25°C ou plus
$35 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 10 lowest temperature reflects tight uncertainty between a 16°C low (54% implied probability) and 15°C or below (47.5%), with higher outcomes near zero.**
Forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of roughly 16–17°C (61–63°F), driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer patches or slightly stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip to 15°C or lower in some areas, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat effects support a 16°C floor.
This balance explains the near-even split: official guidance and ensemble outputs show minimal spread, but small variations in timing of clearing or local microclimates keep both outcomes viable. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past day, keeping the market tightly contested around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,251Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 10 lowest temperature reflects tight uncertainty between a 16°C low (54% implied probability) and 15°C or below (47.5%), with higher outcomes near zero.**
Forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of roughly 16–17°C (61–63°F), driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer patches or slightly stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip to 15°C or lower in some areas, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat effects support a 16°C floor.
This balance explains the near-even split: official guidance and ensemble outputs show minimal spread, but small variations in timing of clearing or local microclimates keep both outcomes viable. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past day, keeping the market tightly contested around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,251Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 10 lowest temperature reflects tight uncertainty between a 16°C low (54% implied probability) and 15°C or below (47.5%), with higher outcomes near zero.** Forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low of roughly 16–17°C (61–63°F), driven by partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity that limits strong radiative cooling. Clearer patches or slightly stronger winds could allow temperatures to dip to 15°C or lower in some areas, while persistent cloud cover or urban heat effects support a 16°C floor. This balance explains the near-even split: official guidance and ensemble outputs show minimal spread, but small variations in timing of clearing or local microclimates keep both outcomes viable. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past day, keeping the market tightly contested around these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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