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icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place

icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place

Reinaldo Azambuja 50%

Vander Loubet 32%

Beto do Movimento 24%

Valderi Garcia 22%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Reinaldo Azambuja 50%

Vander Loubet 32%

Beto do Movimento 24%

Valderi Garcia 22%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$148 Vol.

55%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$21 Vol.

32%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$21 Vol.

24%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$21 Vol.

22%

icon for Capitão Contar

Capitão Contar

$21 Vol.

19%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$21 Vol.

19%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$21 Vol.

18%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$92 Vol.

7%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$90 Vol.

7%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$42 Vol.

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leads the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race as the consensus frontrunner for first place, with recent polls from institutes including Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing him at 30–38% in stimulated scenarios for the first vote, well ahead of rivals. His switch from PSDB to PL, combined with explicit backing from Flávio Bolsonaro and alignment with the party’s national strategy, has consolidated right-leaning support in a state that leans conservative. Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT) trail as the next most visible contenders, while Soraya Thronicke (PSB) and others register lower single-digit or low-teen shares. With candidate registration closed and the October election roughly two months away, Azambuja’s sustained polling advantage and institutional party resources explain the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$498
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leads the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race as the consensus frontrunner for first place, with recent polls from institutes including Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing him at 30–38% in stimulated scenarios for the first vote, well ahead of rivals. His switch from PSDB to PL, combined with explicit backing from Flávio Bolsonaro and alignment with the party’s national strategy, has consolidated right-leaning support in a state that leans conservative. Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT) trail as the next most visible contenders, while Soraya Thronicke (PSB) and others register lower single-digit or low-teen shares. With candidate registration closed and the October election roughly two months away, Azambuja’s sustained polling advantage and institutional party resources explain the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$498
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Capitão Contar obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026 ?

Capitão Contar obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026 ?

37%
Oui
icon for Le colonel Darwin remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du Mato Grosso en 2026 ?

Le colonel Darwin remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du Mato Grosso en 2026 ?

24%
Oui
icon for Mauro Mendes obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Mauro Mendes obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

24%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Reinaldo Azambuja » à 55%, suivi de « Vander Loubet » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 55¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place » est « Reinaldo Azambuja » à 55%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Vander Loubet » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.