Democrat Jocelyn Benson secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary after incumbent Governor Gretchen Whitmer became term-limited, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John James. Michigan's recent electoral patterns, including strong Democratic performance in statewide contests, have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 84% implied probability for the Democratic outcome. Benson's profile as Secretary of State and focus on election administration and voter issues provide continuity with the outgoing administration's priorities on education, housing affordability, and health care access. James, a sitting U.S. Representative, faces challenges in a state where Democratic candidates have maintained advantages in recent cycles. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but remains a distant factor at 1.4%. Scheduled events through fall, including debates and turnout efforts in key regions, could still influence final margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDémocrate 84%
Républicain 15%
Indépendant 1.4%
$196,710 Vol.
$196,710 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
84%
Républicain
15%
Indépendant
1%
Démocrate 84%
Républicain 15%
Indépendant 1.4%
$196,710 Vol.
$196,710 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$45,840 Vol.
84%
Républicain
$150,254 Vol.
15%
Indépendant
$616 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Jocelyn Benson secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary after incumbent Governor Gretchen Whitmer became term-limited, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John James. Michigan's recent electoral patterns, including strong Democratic performance in statewide contests, have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 84% implied probability for the Democratic outcome. Benson's profile as Secretary of State and focus on election administration and voter issues provide continuity with the outgoing administration's priorities on education, housing affordability, and health care access. James, a sitting U.S. Representative, faces challenges in a state where Democratic candidates have maintained advantages in recent cycles. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but remains a distant factor at 1.4%. Scheduled events through fall, including debates and turnout efforts in key regions, could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$196,710Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Jocelyn Benson secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary after incumbent Governor Gretchen Whitmer became term-limited, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John James. Michigan's recent electoral patterns, including strong Democratic performance in statewide contests, have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 84% implied probability for the Democratic outcome. Benson's profile as Secretary of State and focus on election administration and voter issues provide continuity with the outgoing administration's priorities on education, housing affordability, and health care access. James, a sitting U.S. Representative, faces challenges in a state where Democratic candidates have maintained advantages in recent cycles. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but remains a distant factor at 1.4%. Scheduled events through fall, including debates and turnout efforts in key regions, could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$196,710Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Jocelyn Benson secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary after incumbent Governor Gretchen Whitmer became term-limited, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John James. Michigan's recent electoral patterns, including strong Democratic performance in statewide contests, have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 84% implied probability for the Democratic outcome. Benson's profile as Secretary of State and focus on election administration and voter issues provide continuity with the outgoing administration's priorities on education, housing affordability, and health care access. James, a sitting U.S. Representative, faces challenges in a state where Democratic candidates have maintained advantages in recent cycles. An independent candidate adds minor fragmentation but remains a distant factor at 1.4%. Scheduled events through fall, including debates and turnout efforts in key regions, could still influence final margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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