Lisa Demuth's position as Minnesota House Speaker and her February 2026 statewide Republican caucus straw poll victory have established her as the clear frontrunner in the August 11 primary, driving trader consensus to 68 percent. Kendall Qualls benefits from prior statewide runs and strong fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 last year, while Mike Lindell draws support through name recognition despite a more limited organizational base. Recent withdrawals, including Kristin Robbins in early May, have narrowed the field and reduced vote fragmentation among remaining challengers. The primary's open nature, combined with Minnesota Republicans' focus on selecting a general election nominee against the likely Democratic candidate, sustains the current market positioning ahead of filing deadlines and further endorsements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLisa Demuth 69%
Kendall Qualls 14%
Mike Lindell 12%
Phil Parrish 1.1%
$384,172 Vol.
$384,172 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
69%
Kendall Qualls
14%
Mike Lindell
12%
Phil Parrish
1%
Jeff Johnson
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
Patrick Knight
<1%
Chris Madel
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
Lisa Demuth 69%
Kendall Qualls 14%
Mike Lindell 12%
Phil Parrish 1.1%
$384,172 Vol.
$384,172 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
69%
Kendall Qualls
14%
Mike Lindell
12%
Phil Parrish
1%
Jeff Johnson
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
Patrick Knight
<1%
Chris Madel
<1%
Kristin Robbins
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lisa Demuth's position as Minnesota House Speaker and her February 2026 statewide Republican caucus straw poll victory have established her as the clear frontrunner in the August 11 primary, driving trader consensus to 68 percent. Kendall Qualls benefits from prior statewide runs and strong fundraising totals exceeding $600,000 last year, while Mike Lindell draws support through name recognition despite a more limited organizational base. Recent withdrawals, including Kristin Robbins in early May, have narrowed the field and reduced vote fragmentation among remaining challengers. The primary's open nature, combined with Minnesota Republicans' focus on selecting a general election nominee against the likely Democratic candidate, sustains the current market positioning ahead of filing deadlines and further endorsements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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