Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Tina Smith, features Democratic nominee and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya in the November 3 general election. Traders price Flanagan at 90.5% due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, her established statewide profile and party endorsement secured through the August 11 primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and structural advantages in voter registration and recent election results. Tafoya, a political newcomer who prevailed in the Republican primary, faces an uphill path in a D+3 to D+7 environment. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, turnout disparities in key metro and rural areas, campaign-specific events through fall, or late developments affecting either nominee's positioning ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
91%
Républicain
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$31,632 Vol.
91%
Républicain
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Tina Smith, features Democratic nominee and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya in the November 3 general election. Traders price Flanagan at 90.5% due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, her established statewide profile and party endorsement secured through the August 11 primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and structural advantages in voter registration and recent election results. Tafoya, a political newcomer who prevailed in the Republican primary, faces an uphill path in a D+3 to D+7 environment. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, turnout disparities in key metro and rural areas, campaign-specific events through fall, or late developments affecting either nominee's positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$47,494Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Tina Smith, features Democratic nominee and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya in the November 3 general election. Traders price Flanagan at 90.5% due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, her established statewide profile and party endorsement secured through the August 11 primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and structural advantages in voter registration and recent election results. Tafoya, a political newcomer who prevailed in the Republican primary, faces an uphill path in a D+3 to D+7 environment. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, turnout disparities in key metro and rural areas, campaign-specific events through fall, or late developments affecting either nominee's positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$47,494Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Tina Smith, features Democratic nominee and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya in the November 3 general election. Traders price Flanagan at 90.5% due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, her established statewide profile and party endorsement secured through the August 11 primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and structural advantages in voter registration and recent election results. Tafoya, a political newcomer who prevailed in the Republican primary, faces an uphill path in a D+3 to D+7 environment. Potential shifts could arise from national political realignments, turnout disparities in key metro and rural areas, campaign-specific events through fall, or late developments affecting either nominee's positioning ahead of Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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