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icon for Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ?
Élections·Groenland

Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ?

icon for Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ?
Élections·Groenland

Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ?

Mette Frederiksen 74%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 9.8%

Troels Lund Poulsen 8.0%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$8,677,855 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 74%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 9.8%

Troels Lund Poulsen 8.0%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$8,677,855 Vol.

icon for Mette Frederiksen

Mette Frederiksen

$1,541,348 Vol.

74%

icon for Lars Løkke Rasmussen

Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$2,114,020 Vol.

10%

icon for Troels Lund Poulsen

Troels Lund Poulsen

$1,238,228 Vol.

8%

icon for Alex Vanopslagh

Alex Vanopslagh

$720,223 Vol.

1%

icon for Martin Lidegaard

Martin Lidegaard

$70,991 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lars Boje Mathiesen

Lars Boje Mathiesen

$446,242 Vol.

<1%

icon for Morten Messerschmidt

Morten Messerschmidt

$2,133,250 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mona Juul

Mona Juul

$152,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Inger Støjberg

Inger Støjberg

$45,439 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pia Olsen Dyhr

Pia Olsen Dyhr

$141,372 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pelle Dragsted

Pelle Dragsted

$74,005 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mette Frederiksen leads the trader consensus for Denmark’s next prime minister because her Social Democrats secured the largest share of seats in the March 2026 Folketing election, even without a majority bloc. This outcome aligns with Denmark’s parliamentary tradition of appointing the leader of the biggest party to explore coalition formation first. Recent developments include seven weeks of stalled talks that prompted King Frederik X on May 9 to shift the mandate to Venstre’s Troels Lund Poulsen for center-right negotiations, while Moderates leader Lars Løkke Rasmussen retains pivotal kingmaker influence. These fluid coalition dynamics and the two-week deadline continue to shape implied probabilities, with uncertainty over potential cross-bloc deals keeping Frederiksen’s position dominant yet not assured.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,677,855
Date de fin
24 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mette Frederiksen leads the trader consensus for Denmark’s next prime minister because her Social Democrats secured the largest share of seats in the March 2026 Folketing election, even without a majority bloc. This outcome aligns with Denmark’s parliamentary tradition of appointing the leader of the biggest party to explore coalition formation first. Recent developments include seven weeks of stalled talks that prompted King Frederik X on May 9 to shift the mandate to Venstre’s Troels Lund Poulsen for center-right negotiations, while Moderates leader Lars Løkke Rasmussen retains pivotal kingmaker influence. These fluid coalition dynamics and the two-week deadline continue to shape implied probabilities, with uncertainty over potential cross-bloc deals keeping Frederiksen’s position dominant yet not assured.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,677,855
Date de fin
24 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mette Frederiksen » à 74%, suivi de « Lars Løkke Rasmussen » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? » a généré $8.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? » est « Mette Frederiksen » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lars Løkke Rasmussen » à 10%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain Premier ministre du Danemark ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.