Republican incumbent Mike Carey, who won his May 2026 primary, faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3. The seat carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, giving the incumbent structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base. Recent polls, including those from August 2026, show Carey ahead by double digits in most surveys, consistent with the district’s lean and historical incumbent re-election rates. No major late-breaking developments, scandals, or shifts in turnout patterns have emerged to narrow the gap. Trader pricing in the market reflects these baseline conditions and the limited Democratic path to victory in this competitive but Republican-leaning district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-15
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-15
$10,501 Vol.
$10,501 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
79%
Parti démocrate
19%
$10,501 Vol.
$10,501 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,609 Vol.
79%
Parti démocrate
$5,891 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey, who won his May 2026 primary, faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3. The seat carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, giving the incumbent structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base. Recent polls, including those from August 2026, show Carey ahead by double digits in most surveys, consistent with the district’s lean and historical incumbent re-election rates. No major late-breaking developments, scandals, or shifts in turnout patterns have emerged to narrow the gap. Trader pricing in the market reflects these baseline conditions and the limited Democratic path to victory in this competitive but Republican-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,501Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey, who won his May 2026 primary, faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3. The seat carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, giving the incumbent structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base. Recent polls, including those from August 2026, show Carey ahead by double digits in most surveys, consistent with the district’s lean and historical incumbent re-election rates. No major late-breaking developments, scandals, or shifts in turnout patterns have emerged to narrow the gap. Trader pricing in the market reflects these baseline conditions and the limited Democratic path to victory in this competitive but Republican-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,501Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Carey, who won his May 2026 primary, faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3. The seat carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has favored Republicans in recent cycles, giving the incumbent structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter base. Recent polls, including those from August 2026, show Carey ahead by double digits in most surveys, consistent with the district’s lean and historical incumbent re-election rates. No major late-breaking developments, scandals, or shifts in turnout patterns have emerged to narrow the gap. Trader pricing in the market reflects these baseline conditions and the limited Democratic path to victory in this competitive but Republican-leaning district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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