Ohio's 15th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 to R+13 partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Carey, first elected in 2021, secured his party's nomination without opposition and holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage heading into the November general election. Don Leonard emerged as the Democratic nominee after narrowly defeating Adam Miller in the May 5 primary, yet the district's structural advantages and historical turnout patterns continue to favor the Republican outcome. No major national shifts or local developments in the past month have meaningfully altered trader assessments of the race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-15
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre OH-15
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
74%
Parti démocrate
27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$1,358 Vol.
74%
Parti démocrate
$2,995 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 15th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 to R+13 partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Carey, first elected in 2021, secured his party's nomination without opposition and holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage heading into the November general election. Don Leonard emerged as the Democratic nominee after narrowly defeating Adam Miller in the May 5 primary, yet the district's structural advantages and historical turnout patterns continue to favor the Republican outcome. No major national shifts or local developments in the past month have meaningfully altered trader assessments of the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$4,353Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 15th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 to R+13 partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Carey, first elected in 2021, secured his party's nomination without opposition and holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage heading into the November general election. Don Leonard emerged as the Democratic nominee after narrowly defeating Adam Miller in the May 5 primary, yet the district's structural advantages and historical turnout patterns continue to favor the Republican outcome. No major national shifts or local developments in the past month have meaningfully altered trader assessments of the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,353Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 15th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 to R+13 partisan voting index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Carey, first elected in 2021, secured his party's nomination without opposition and holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage heading into the November general election. Don Leonard emerged as the Democratic nominee after narrowly defeating Adam Miller in the May 5 primary, yet the district's structural advantages and historical turnout patterns continue to favor the Republican outcome. No major national shifts or local developments in the past month have meaningfully altered trader assessments of the race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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