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icon for PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

icon for PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire

Bob Brooks 95%

Lamont McClure 3.5%

Ryan Crosswell 1.9%

Carol Obando-Derstine 1.9%

Polymarket

$29,680 Vol.

Bob Brooks 95%

Lamont McClure 3.5%

Ryan Crosswell 1.9%

Carol Obando-Derstine 1.9%

Polymarket

$29,680 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$4,962 Vol.

95%

Lamont McClure

$6,138 Vol.

3%

Ryan Crosswell

$5,074 Vol.

2%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,987 Vol.

2%

Aiden Gonzalez

$3,089 Vol.

<1%

Lewis Shupe

$4,430 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks has consolidated strong institutional support as the frontrunner in Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for May 19, which explains the market’s overwhelming trader consensus behind his nomination. Endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro, Lieutenant Governor Austin Davis, Senator Bernie Sanders, and the Working Families Party, combined with his profile as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association and a working-class background, have driven momentum in recent polling that shows him pulling ahead of Lamont McClure and the rest of the field. Rivals including Ryan Crosswell and Carol Obando-Derstine have focused on their own records in federal prosecution and local service, yet Brooks’ fundraising advantage and party alignment have limited their traction. While a major late-breaking scandal or sharp turnout drop among his base could still shift the outcome in the final days, the current consolidation of Democratic support makes such scenarios unlikely to alter the primary result.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,680
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks has consolidated strong institutional support as the frontrunner in Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for May 19, which explains the market’s overwhelming trader consensus behind his nomination. Endorsements from Governor Josh Shapiro, Lieutenant Governor Austin Davis, Senator Bernie Sanders, and the Working Families Party, combined with his profile as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association and a working-class background, have driven momentum in recent polling that shows him pulling ahead of Lamont McClure and the rest of the field. Rivals including Ryan Crosswell and Carol Obando-Derstine have focused on their own records in federal prosecution and local service, yet Brooks’ fundraising advantage and party alignment have limited their traction. While a major late-breaking scandal or sharp turnout drop among his base could still shift the outcome in the final days, the current consolidation of Democratic support makes such scenarios unlikely to alter the primary result.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,680
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Bob Brooks » à 95%, suivi de « Lamont McClure » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » a généré $29.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » est « Bob Brooks » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lamont McClure » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « PA-07 Vainqueur Démocratique Primaire » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.