Keiko Fujimori holds a slim projected lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with 99%+ of ballots tallied and the remaining contested votes concentrated in her Lima stronghold. Overseas ballots strongly favored Fujimori, while Sánchez performed better in rural southern regions. Election authorities continue reviewing a small share of ballots under a mid-July deadline, and trader consensus reflects the expectation that these final tallies will preserve or modestly widen her margin without triggering successful appeals or recounts. Late shifts remain possible if institutional reviews or legal challenges alter outcomes in key urban precincts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2ème tour des élections au Pérou : Marge de victoire ? (parenthèses de 0,1 %)
2ème tour des élections au Pérou : Marge de victoire ? (parenthèses de 0,1 %)
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 % 98.6%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 % <1%
Autre <1%
Sánchez 0–0,1 % <1%
$2,852,149 Vol.
$2,852,149 Vol.
Fujimori 1 %+
<1%
Fujimori 0,9–1,0 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,7–0,8 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,5–0,6 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 %
<1%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 %
99%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 %
1%
Fujimori 0–0,1 %
<1%
Sánchez 0–0,1 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,1–0,2 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,2–0,3 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,3–0,4 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,4–0,5 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,5–0,6 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,6–0,7 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,7–0,8 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,8–0,9 %
<1%
Sánchez 0,9–1,0 %
<1%
Sánchez 1 %+
<1%
Autre
<1%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 % 98.6%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 % <1%
Autre <1%
Sánchez 0–0,1 % <1%
$2,852,149 Vol.
$2,852,149 Vol.
Fujimori 1 %+
$97,539 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,9–1,0 %
$49,553 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9 %
$45,052 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,7–0,8 %
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7 %
$53,044 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,5–0,6 %
$115,630 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5 %
$316,633 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,3–0,4 %
$471,904 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0,2–0,3 %
$246,244 Vol.
99%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2 %
$437,708 Vol.
1%
Fujimori 0–0,1 %
$327,442 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0–0,1 %
$196,770 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,1–0,2 %
$148,904 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,2–0,3 %
$61,291 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,3–0,4 %
$37,198 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,4–0,5 %
$35,190 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,5–0,6 %
$29,111 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,6–0,7 %
$23,147 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,7–0,8 %
$16,486 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,8–0,9 %
$9,707 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0,9–1,0 %
$8,728 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 1 %+
$9,873 Vol.
<1%
Autre
$71,128 Vol.
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a slim projected lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with 99%+ of ballots tallied and the remaining contested votes concentrated in her Lima stronghold. Overseas ballots strongly favored Fujimori, while Sánchez performed better in rural southern regions. Election authorities continue reviewing a small share of ballots under a mid-July deadline, and trader consensus reflects the expectation that these final tallies will preserve or modestly widen her margin without triggering successful appeals or recounts. Late shifts remain possible if institutional reviews or legal challenges alter outcomes in key urban precincts.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Volume
$2,852,149Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a slim projected lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with 99%+ of ballots tallied and the remaining contested votes concentrated in her Lima stronghold. Overseas ballots strongly favored Fujimori, while Sánchez performed better in rural southern regions. Election authorities continue reviewing a small share of ballots under a mid-July deadline, and trader consensus reflects the expectation that these final tallies will preserve or modestly widen her margin without triggering successful appeals or recounts. Late shifts remain possible if institutional reviews or legal challenges alter outcomes in key urban precincts.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$2,852,149Marché ouvert
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a slim projected lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with 99%+ of ballots tallied and the remaining contested votes concentrated in her Lima stronghold. Overseas ballots strongly favored Fujimori, while Sánchez performed better in rural southern regions. Election authorities continue reviewing a small share of ballots under a mid-July deadline, and trader consensus reflects the expectation that these final tallies will preserve or modestly widen her margin without triggering successful appeals or recounts. Late shifts remain possible if institutional reviews or legal challenges alter outcomes in key urban precincts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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