Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding lead in the market for third place in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote because the near-final official tally has locked in his position behind Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez. With more than 99 percent of ballots counted, Fujimori leads at roughly 17 percent, Sánchez sits second near 12 percent, and López Aliaga remains third at about 11.9 percent, a margin that has held steady through the protracted count. Fragmentation among more than thirty candidates, combined with López Aliaga’s consistent base among conservative voters in Lima and northern departments, has prevented any trailing contender from closing the gap. Late shifts remain possible only if remaining overseas or rural ballots produce an unexpected reversal exceeding several thousand votes, an outcome traders view as highly improbable given current trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPremier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : 3e place
Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : 3e place
Rafael López Aliaga 99.2%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
Keiko Fujimori <1%
$1,142,378 Vol.
$1,142,378 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
99%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 99.2%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
Keiko Fujimori <1%
$1,142,378 Vol.
$1,142,378 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
99%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding lead in the market for third place in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote because the near-final official tally has locked in his position behind Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez. With more than 99 percent of ballots counted, Fujimori leads at roughly 17 percent, Sánchez sits second near 12 percent, and López Aliaga remains third at about 11.9 percent, a margin that has held steady through the protracted count. Fragmentation among more than thirty candidates, combined with López Aliaga’s consistent base among conservative voters in Lima and northern departments, has prevented any trailing contender from closing the gap. Late shifts remain possible only if remaining overseas or rural ballots produce an unexpected reversal exceeding several thousand votes, an outcome traders view as highly improbable given current trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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