Keiko Fujimori secured first place in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election with roughly 17.2 percent of the vote, outpacing the nearest rival by more than five percentage points according to official tallies nearing completion. A crowded field of over thirty candidates fragmented the vote, allowing her Popular Force party’s organized conservative base and congressional influence to consolidate support amid widespread concerns about insecurity and economic stability. Final results announced in mid-May confirmed the margin, with limited remaining ballots unlikely to alter the outcome. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap below five percent include successful challenges to disputed tallies or unexpected late shifts in overseas or rural counts, though electoral authorities have reported over 99 percent of ballots processed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPremier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : Marge de victoire
Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle péruvienne : Marge de victoire
Keiko Fujimori 5%+ 99.6%
Autre <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 15 %+ <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15% <1%
$521,773 Vol.
$521,773 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
Rafael López Aliaga 15 %+
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10 %
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
<1%
Alfonso López Chau 5 %+
<1%
Alfonso López Chau <5 %
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
100%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Autre
1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+ 99.6%
Autre <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 15 %+ <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15% <1%
$521,773 Vol.
$521,773 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
Rafael López Aliaga 15 %+
$10,673 Vol.
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
$12,077 Vol.
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10 %
$8,344 Vol.
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
$20,070 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau 5 %+
$7,219 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau <5 %
$6,302 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
$162,138 Vol.
100%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
$209,115 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Nieto
$16,948 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$20,796 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$4,675 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$6,118 Vol.
<1%
Autre
$37,298 Vol.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured first place in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election with roughly 17.2 percent of the vote, outpacing the nearest rival by more than five percentage points according to official tallies nearing completion. A crowded field of over thirty candidates fragmented the vote, allowing her Popular Force party’s organized conservative base and congressional influence to consolidate support amid widespread concerns about insecurity and economic stability. Final results announced in mid-May confirmed the margin, with limited remaining ballots unlikely to alter the outcome. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap below five percent include successful challenges to disputed tallies or unexpected late shifts in overseas or rural counts, though electoral authorities have reported over 99 percent of ballots processed.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Volume
$521,773Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured first place in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election with roughly 17.2 percent of the vote, outpacing the nearest rival by more than five percentage points according to official tallies nearing completion. A crowded field of over thirty candidates fragmented the vote, allowing her Popular Force party’s organized conservative base and congressional influence to consolidate support amid widespread concerns about insecurity and economic stability. Final results announced in mid-May confirmed the margin, with limited remaining ballots unlikely to alter the outcome. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap below five percent include successful challenges to disputed tallies or unexpected late shifts in overseas or rural counts, though electoral authorities have reported over 99 percent of ballots processed.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$521,773Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori secured first place in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election with roughly 17.2 percent of the vote, outpacing the nearest rival by more than five percentage points according to official tallies nearing completion. A crowded field of over thirty candidates fragmented the vote, allowing her Popular Force party’s organized conservative base and congressional influence to consolidate support amid widespread concerns about insecurity and economic stability. Final results announced in mid-May confirmed the margin, with limited remaining ballots unlikely to alter the outcome. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap below five percent include successful challenges to disputed tallies or unexpected late shifts in overseas or rural counts, though electoral authorities have reported over 99 percent of ballots processed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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