The just-concluded State Duma election delivered United Russia a commanding share near 57-58% in preliminary Central Election Commission counts, aligning with trader consensus on the 55-60% band. Kremlin-aligned systemic parties faced minimal competition after opposition lists were excluded, while state media and regional mobilization emphasized continuity in foreign policy and domestic stability. High turnout in select areas and single-mandate constituency strength further bolstered the result. Final official tallies and any procedural challenges remain the primary variables that could shift the precise band, though historical patterns of controlled processes and limited independent verification make large deviations improbable before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour55-60 % 95%
60 %+ 4.1%
50-55 % 1.9%
45-50 % <1%
$36,577 Vol.
$36,577 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
<40 %
<1%
40-45 %
<1%
45-50 %
1%
50-55 %
2%
55-60 %
95%
60 %+
4%
55-60 % 95%
60 %+ 4.1%
50-55 % 1.9%
45-50 % <1%
$36,577 Vol.
$36,577 Vol.
31 oct. 2026
<40 %
$146 Vol.
<1%
40-45 %
$578 Vol.
<1%
45-50 %
$5,594 Vol.
1%
50-55 %
$8,314 Vol.
2%
55-60 %
$6,888 Vol.
95%
60 %+
$15,057 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The just-concluded State Duma election delivered United Russia a commanding share near 57-58% in preliminary Central Election Commission counts, aligning with trader consensus on the 55-60% band. Kremlin-aligned systemic parties faced minimal competition after opposition lists were excluded, while state media and regional mobilization emphasized continuity in foreign policy and domestic stability. High turnout in select areas and single-mandate constituency strength further bolstered the result. Final official tallies and any procedural challenges remain the primary variables that could shift the precise band, though historical patterns of controlled processes and limited independent verification make large deviations improbable before market resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$36,577Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The just-concluded State Duma election delivered United Russia a commanding share near 57-58% in preliminary Central Election Commission counts, aligning with trader consensus on the 55-60% band. Kremlin-aligned systemic parties faced minimal competition after opposition lists were excluded, while state media and regional mobilization emphasized continuity in foreign policy and domestic stability. High turnout in select areas and single-mandate constituency strength further bolstered the result. Final official tallies and any procedural challenges remain the primary variables that could shift the precise band, though historical patterns of controlled processes and limited independent verification make large deviations improbable before market resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$36,577Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The just-concluded State Duma election delivered United Russia a commanding share near 57-58% in preliminary Central Election Commission counts, aligning with trader consensus on the 55-60% band. Kremlin-aligned systemic parties faced minimal competition after opposition lists were excluded, while state media and regional mobilization emphasized continuity in foreign policy and domestic stability. High turnout in select areas and single-mandate constituency strength further bolstered the result. Final official tallies and any procedural challenges remain the primary variables that could shift the precise band, though historical patterns of controlled processes and limited independent verification make large deviations improbable before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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