The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or congressional actions capable of triggering removal under constitutional requirements within the short timeline. With Republicans controlling Congress, the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction creates substantial procedural barriers absent major new catalysts. Administrative continuity, ongoing policy execution, and lack of recent health or legal disruptions further support stability expectations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting bipartisan action, or rapid legislative developments, though none have materialized to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$5,283,220 Vol.
$5,283,220 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$5,283,220 Vol.
$5,283,220 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or congressional actions capable of triggering removal under constitutional requirements within the short timeline. With Republicans controlling Congress, the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction creates substantial procedural barriers absent major new catalysts. Administrative continuity, ongoing policy execution, and lack of recent health or legal disruptions further support stability expectations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting bipartisan action, or rapid legislative developments, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$5,283,220Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or congressional actions capable of triggering removal under constitutional requirements within the short timeline. With Republicans controlling Congress, the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction creates substantial procedural barriers absent major new catalysts. Administrative continuity, ongoing policy execution, and lack of recent health or legal disruptions further support stability expectations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting bipartisan action, or rapid legislative developments, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,283,220Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or congressional actions capable of triggering removal under constitutional requirements within the short timeline. With Republicans controlling Congress, the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction creates substantial procedural barriers absent major new catalysts. Administrative continuity, ongoing policy execution, and lack of recent health or legal disruptions further support stability expectations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden medical events, unforeseen scandals prompting bipartisan action, or rapid legislative developments, though none have materialized to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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