The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the fixed four-year term established by the U.S. Constitution, with the next inauguration scheduled for January 2029. No active impeachment proceedings, Senate conviction votes, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have advanced in Congress, and no credible reports indicate resignation or incapacity. Historical precedent shows such removals are rare and require sustained bipartisan support that has not materialized. While sudden health events, major scandals, or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift the timeline, these remain low-probability occurrences within the narrow window before the resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$5,289,398 Vol.
$5,289,398 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$5,289,398 Vol.
$5,289,398 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the fixed four-year term established by the U.S. Constitution, with the next inauguration scheduled for January 2029. No active impeachment proceedings, Senate conviction votes, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have advanced in Congress, and no credible reports indicate resignation or incapacity. Historical precedent shows such removals are rare and require sustained bipartisan support that has not materialized. While sudden health events, major scandals, or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift the timeline, these remain low-probability occurrences within the narrow window before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$5,289,398Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the fixed four-year term established by the U.S. Constitution, with the next inauguration scheduled for January 2029. No active impeachment proceedings, Senate conviction votes, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have advanced in Congress, and no credible reports indicate resignation or incapacity. Historical precedent shows such removals are rare and require sustained bipartisan support that has not materialized. While sudden health events, major scandals, or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift the timeline, these remain low-probability occurrences within the narrow window before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,289,398Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 reflects the fixed four-year term established by the U.S. Constitution, with the next inauguration scheduled for January 2029. No active impeachment proceedings, Senate conviction votes, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have advanced in Congress, and no credible reports indicate resignation or incapacity. Historical precedent shows such removals are rare and require sustained bipartisan support that has not materialized. While sudden health events, major scandals, or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift the timeline, these remain low-probability occurrences within the narrow window before the resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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