As of mid-May 2026, President Trump remains in office with no active impeachment proceedings, cabinet-level resignations, or announced health developments that would trigger an early departure before May 31. Republican congressional majorities continue to limit removal pathways, aligning with historical patterns where presidents complete terms absent extraordinary events. Traders reflect this continuity through near-certain consensus, as no recent legislative votes, diplomatic summits, or court rulings have introduced uncertainty into the short timeline. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical disclosure or major scandal could still alter the outlook within the resolution window, though current institutional and political conditions support stability through the end of the month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,611,617 Vol.
$1,611,617 Vol.
$1,611,617 Vol.
$1,611,617 Vol.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-May 2026, President Trump remains in office with no active impeachment proceedings, cabinet-level resignations, or announced health developments that would trigger an early departure before May 31. Republican congressional majorities continue to limit removal pathways, aligning with historical patterns where presidents complete terms absent extraordinary events. Traders reflect this continuity through near-certain consensus, as no recent legislative votes, diplomatic summits, or court rulings have introduced uncertainty into the short timeline. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical disclosure or major scandal could still alter the outlook within the resolution window, though current institutional and political conditions support stability through the end of the month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes