Texas's 18th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat centered in Houston, where registered voters and recent election returns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination after defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, unifying party support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 96.3% implied probability because the district's partisan composition and Menefee's established incumbency create high barriers for any Republican challenger. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized in the current cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-18
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-18
$12,751 Vol.
$12,751 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
4%
$12,751 Vol.
$12,751 Vol.
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$12,372 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$379 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 18th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat centered in Houston, where registered voters and recent election returns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination after defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, unifying party support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 96.3% implied probability because the district's partisan composition and Menefee's established incumbency create high barriers for any Republican challenger. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$12,751Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 18th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat centered in Houston, where registered voters and recent election returns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination after defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, unifying party support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 96.3% implied probability because the district's partisan composition and Menefee's established incumbency create high barriers for any Republican challenger. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,751Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 18th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat centered in Houston, where registered voters and recent election returns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination after defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff, unifying party support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 96.3% implied probability because the district's partisan composition and Menefee's established incumbency create high barriers for any Republican challenger. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a broader national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized in the current cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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