Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary runoff for Texas's 38th Congressional District, driven by his plurality finish in the March 3 primary and endorsements from President Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. As the leading fundraiser among the original field of ten candidates, Bonck advanced with nearly 48 percent of the vote against Shelly deZevallos, who placed second with under 19 percent. Traders price this outcome at over 95 percent based on his established name recognition, financial advantage, and the district's solidly Republican lean following incumbent Wesley Hunt's decision to seek a Senate seat. The May 26 runoff remains the key upcoming event, with any shifts in turnout or late campaign developments among the remaining contenders representing the primary factors that could still alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJon Bonck 96.0%
Shelly deZevallos 2.6%
Barrett McNabb 1.3%
Jennifer Sundt <1%
$41,333 Vol.
$41,333 Vol.
Jon Bonck
96%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Barrett McNabb
1%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Jeff Yuna
1%
Larry Rubin
<1%
Carmen Montiel
<1%
Craig Goralski
<1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
Michael Pratt
<1%
Jon Bonck 96.0%
Shelly deZevallos 2.6%
Barrett McNabb 1.3%
Jennifer Sundt <1%
$41,333 Vol.
$41,333 Vol.
Jon Bonck
96%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Barrett McNabb
1%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Jeff Yuna
1%
Larry Rubin
<1%
Carmen Montiel
<1%
Craig Goralski
<1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
Michael Pratt
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary runoff for Texas's 38th Congressional District, driven by his plurality finish in the March 3 primary and endorsements from President Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz. As the leading fundraiser among the original field of ten candidates, Bonck advanced with nearly 48 percent of the vote against Shelly deZevallos, who placed second with under 19 percent. Traders price this outcome at over 95 percent based on his established name recognition, financial advantage, and the district's solidly Republican lean following incumbent Wesley Hunt's decision to seek a Senate seat. The May 26 runoff remains the key upcoming event, with any shifts in turnout or late campaign developments among the remaining contenders representing the primary factors that could still alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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