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Politics·Primaries

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 96.9%

James Osyf <1%

Matt Strickler <1%

Burk Stringfellow <1%

Polymarket

$11,757 Vol.

Elaine Luria 96.9%

James Osyf <1%

Matt Strickler <1%

Burk Stringfellow <1%

Polymarket

$11,757 Vol.

Elaine Luria

$4,272 Vol.

97%

James Osyf

$1,617 Vol.

<1%

Matt Strickler

$822 Vol.

<1%

Burk Stringfellow

$821 Vol.

<1%

Nila Devanath

$1,290 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,707 Vol.

<1%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,227 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District due to her prior service representing the district from 2019 to 2023, strong name recognition as a Navy veteran, and early institutional support from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee through its Red to Blue program. She maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $2.8 million raised compared to far smaller totals from challengers such as physician Nila Devanath and others. These factors have consolidated trader consensus around her nomination ahead of a potential rematch with Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant campaign finance issue or sharp shift in primary turnout patterns, would be required to alter the current positioning before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,757
Date de fin
16 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District due to her prior service representing the district from 2019 to 2023, strong name recognition as a Navy veteran, and early institutional support from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee through its Red to Blue program. She maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $2.8 million raised compared to far smaller totals from challengers such as physician Nila Devanath and others. These factors have consolidated trader consensus around her nomination ahead of a potential rematch with Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant campaign finance issue or sharp shift in primary turnout patterns, would be required to alter the current positioning before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,757
Date de fin
16 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Elaine Luria » à 97%, suivi de « James Osyf » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner » a généré $11.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Elaine Luria » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « James Osyf » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.