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icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ?
Économie·Parcl

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ?

icon for Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ?
Économie·Parcl

Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ?

<554k$ 93%

554 000 $ - 558 000 $ 4.0%

>572 000 $ 2.2%

562 000 $ - 566 000 $ 2.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<554k$ 93%

554 000 $ - 558 000 $ 4.0%

>572 000 $ 2.2%

562 000 $ - 566 000 $ 2.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<554k$

$1,895 Vol.

93%

554 000 $ - 558 000 $

$163 Vol.

4%

558k $ - 562k $

$161 Vol.

1%

562 000 $ - 566 000 $

$221 Vol.

2%

566 000 $ - 570 000 $

$188 Vol.

2%

570 k$ - 572 k$

$124 Vol.

1%

>572 000 $

$179 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases show softening median home values across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, with Zillow reporting an average of $581,881 for the District proper as of late May 2026, down 2.8% year-over-year, alongside Redfin figures indicating modest declines in sale prices amid elevated days on market. Increased active listings—up sharply from prior periods—combined with mortgage rates holding near 6% have boosted buyer negotiating leverage and contributed to price concessions, reinforcing trader consensus around outcomes below $554,000. Seasonal patterns and federal workforce-related demand uncertainty add further downside pressure into the June 30 resolution, though any surprise inventory contraction or rate relief could still shift near-term pricing dynamics. Aggregated Polymarket positioning reflects this data-driven caution in real-capital terms.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volume
$2,930
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases show softening median home values across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, with Zillow reporting an average of $581,881 for the District proper as of late May 2026, down 2.8% year-over-year, alongside Redfin figures indicating modest declines in sale prices amid elevated days on market. Increased active listings—up sharply from prior periods—combined with mortgage rates holding near 6% have boosted buyer negotiating leverage and contributed to price concessions, reinforcing trader consensus around outcomes below $554,000. Seasonal patterns and federal workforce-related demand uncertainty add further downside pressure into the June 30 resolution, though any surprise inventory contraction or rate relief could still shift near-term pricing dynamics. Aggregated Polymarket positioning reflects this data-driven caution in real-capital terms.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volume
$2,930
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---

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Questions fréquentes

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <554k$ » à 93%, suivi de « 554 000 $ - 558 000 $ » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 93¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ? » est « <554k$ » à 93%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 554 000 $ - 558 000 $ » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle sera la valeur médiane de la maison dans la région métropolitaine de Washington DC le 30 juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.