Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour433 000 $ - 435 000 $ 52%
435 000 $ - 437 000 $ 24%
437 000 $ - 439 000 $ 14%
431 000 $ - 433 000 $ 7%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
<429k $
5%
429 000 $ - 431 000 $
4%
431 000 $ - 433 000 $
7%
433 000 $ - 435 000 $
52%
435 000 $ - 437 000 $
47%
437 000 $ - 439 000 $
9%
>439 000 $
3%
433 000 $ - 435 000 $ 52%
435 000 $ - 437 000 $ 24%
437 000 $ - 439 000 $ 14%
431 000 $ - 433 000 $ 7%
$11,919 Vol.
$11,919 Vol.
<429k $
5%
429 000 $ - 431 000 $
4%
431 000 $ - 433 000 $
7%
433 000 $ - 435 000 $
52%
435 000 $ - 437 000 $
47%
437 000 $ - 439 000 $
9%
>439 000 $
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Marché ouvert : Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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