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Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique ME-02

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique ME-02
Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique ME-02

Joe Baldacci 74%

Matthew Dunlap 19%

Jordan Wood 3.4%

Jared Golden 2.0%

Polymarket

$14,954 Vol.

Joe Baldacci 74%

Matthew Dunlap 19%

Jordan Wood 3.4%

Jared Golden 2.0%

Polymarket

$14,954 Vol.

Joe Baldacci

$4,584 Vol.

74%

Matthew Dunlap

$3,886 Vol.

19%

Jordan Wood

$3,210 Vol.

3%

Jared Golden

$2,909 Vol.

2%

Paige Loud

$364 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Joe Baldacci leads the June 9 Democratic primary for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District largely because of his May 4 endorsement from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which placed him on its Red to Blue list and unlocked additional fundraising and organizational resources for the open seat. As a three-term state senator and former Bangor mayor with deep local ties and a family legacy in statewide office, Baldacci has maintained strong early polling and fundraising advantages over rivals Matthew Dunlap, Paige Loud, and Jordan Wood. The remaining candidates have criticized the national endorsement as outside interference, while Dunlap has drawn some progressive support and all four contenders are preparing for ranked-choice voting in the primary. Trader consensus reflects these recent developments positioning Baldacci as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,954
Date de fin
9 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Joe Baldacci leads the June 9 Democratic primary for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District largely because of his May 4 endorsement from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which placed him on its Red to Blue list and unlocked additional fundraising and organizational resources for the open seat. As a three-term state senator and former Bangor mayor with deep local ties and a family legacy in statewide office, Baldacci has maintained strong early polling and fundraising advantages over rivals Matthew Dunlap, Paige Loud, and Jordan Wood. The remaining candidates have criticized the national endorsement as outside interference, while Dunlap has drawn some progressive support and all four contenders are preparing for ranked-choice voting in the primary. Trader consensus reflects these recent developments positioning Baldacci as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,954
Date de fin
9 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique ME-02 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Joe Baldacci » à 74%, suivi de « Matthew Dunlap » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique ME-02 » a généré $15K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique ME-02 », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique ME-02 » est « Joe Baldacci » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Matthew Dunlap » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique ME-02 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.