Skip to main content
icon for Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04

Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04

Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04

Laura Gillen 86%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 4.8%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 Vol.

Laura Gillen 86%

Nicholas Sciretta 11%

Taylor Darling 4.8%

Gian Jones <1%

Polymarket

$18,925 Vol.

Laura Gillen

$6,360 Vol.

86%

Nicholas Sciretta

$8,783 Vol.

11%

Taylor Darling

$2,126 Vol.

5%

Gian Jones

$1,656 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the New York 4th congressional district Democratic primary as the incumbent representative, benefiting from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising totals exceeding $2 million, and institutional support ahead of the June 23 vote. Her 2024 general election victory in the suburban Long Island seat has solidified her position within the party, limiting the impact of challenges from former state Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched a bid in February citing disagreements over immigration enforcement funding. Lesser-known candidates Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones have not generated comparable visibility or resources, keeping the contest from emerging as a serious threat to the frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that could alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,925
Date de fin
23 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Laura Gillen holds a commanding lead in the New York 4th congressional district Democratic primary as the incumbent representative, benefiting from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising totals exceeding $2 million, and institutional support ahead of the June 23 vote. Her 2024 general election victory in the suburban Long Island seat has solidified her position within the party, limiting the impact of challenges from former state Assembly member Taylor Darling, who launched a bid in February citing disagreements over immigration enforcement funding. Lesser-known candidates Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones have not generated comparable visibility or resources, keeping the contest from emerging as a serious threat to the frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that could alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$18,925
Date de fin
23 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Laura Gillen » à 86%, suivi de « Nicholas Sciretta » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 86¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04 » a généré $18.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 1, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04 », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04 » est « Laura Gillen » à 86%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Nicholas Sciretta » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-04 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.