Republican majorities in the House and Senate create significant procedural and political barriers to impeachment proceedings against President Trump by June 30. With limited legislative session time remaining and no major bipartisan investigations or scandals advancing through committees, traders assign a 99.1 percent probability to the "No" outcome. Historical patterns show that successful House impeachments typically require sustained opposition momentum and cross-aisle support, neither of which appears present in the current session. Late-breaking developments such as new evidence from federal probes or unexpected congressional hearings could theoretically shift sentiment, though the compressed timeline leaves little room for such events to unfold before the deadline.