Trader consensus positions Mandela Barnes as the frontrunner in the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary at 50 percent, driven by his established statewide name recognition from previous Senate and lieutenant governor campaigns. Francesca Hong at 32.5 percent benefits from rising progressive support and recent Marquette University Law School polling that places her competitive or slightly ahead amid elevated undecided voters. Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Sara Rodriguez at 14.5 percent draws attention through public questions on rivals' electability in the wide-open August 11 contest. Lower shares for figures such as David Crowley and others reflect the early phase where visibility, endorsements, and targeted outreach currently shape trader assessments before intensified voter mobilization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMandela Barnes 50%
Francesca Hong 32.5%
Sara Rodriguez 14%
David Crowley 2.5%
$56,956 Vol.
$56,956 Vol.
Mandela Barnes
50%
Francesca Hong
33%
Sara Rodriguez
14%
David Crowley
2%
Joel Brennan
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Zachary Roper
1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Mandela Barnes 50%
Francesca Hong 32.5%
Sara Rodriguez 14%
David Crowley 2.5%
$56,956 Vol.
$56,956 Vol.
Mandela Barnes
50%
Francesca Hong
33%
Sara Rodriguez
14%
David Crowley
2%
Joel Brennan
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Zachary Roper
1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Mandela Barnes as the frontrunner in the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary at 50 percent, driven by his established statewide name recognition from previous Senate and lieutenant governor campaigns. Francesca Hong at 32.5 percent benefits from rising progressive support and recent Marquette University Law School polling that places her competitive or slightly ahead amid elevated undecided voters. Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Sara Rodriguez at 14.5 percent draws attention through public questions on rivals' electability in the wide-open August 11 contest. Lower shares for figures such as David Crowley and others reflect the early phase where visibility, endorsements, and targeted outreach currently shape trader assessments before intensified voter mobilization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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