**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSara Rodriguez 45%
Francesca Hong 38.7%
Mandela Barnes 19%
Kelda Roys <1%
$86,345 Vol.
$86,345 Vol.
Sara Rodriguez
45%
Francesca Hong
39%
Mandela Barnes
19%
Kelda Roys
<1%
David Crowley
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Sara Rodriguez 45%
Francesca Hong 38.7%
Mandela Barnes 19%
Kelda Roys <1%
$86,345 Vol.
$86,345 Vol.
Sara Rodriguez
45%
Francesca Hong
39%
Mandela Barnes
19%
Kelda Roys
<1%
David Crowley
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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