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Politique·Primaires

Gouverneur du Wisconsin Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique

icon for Gouverneur du Wisconsin Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique
Politique·Primaires

Gouverneur du Wisconsin Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique

Mandela Barnes 50%

Francesca Hong 32.5%

Sara Rodriguez 13%

David Crowley 3.9%

Polymarket

$56,956 Vol.

Mandela Barnes 50%

Francesca Hong 32.5%

Sara Rodriguez 13%

David Crowley 3.9%

Polymarket

$56,956 Vol.

Mandela Barnes

$9,485 Vol.

50%

Francesca Hong

$8,113 Vol.

32%

Sara Rodriguez

$10,902 Vol.

13%

David Crowley

$3,449 Vol.

4%

Joel Brennan

$2,764 Vol.

1%

Chris Larson

$8,787 Vol.

1%

Zachary Roper

$1,728 Vol.

1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,850 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Agard

$2,257 Vol.

<1%

Kelda Roys

$2,414 Vol.

<1%

Tom Nelson

$1,699 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,823 Vol.

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$1,685 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mandela Barnes leads trader consensus in the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor due to his strong statewide name recognition from prior statewide campaigns and established fundraising base, while Francesca Hong has narrowed the gap through targeted progressive organizing and recent endorsements such as support from U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar. Polling from early 2026 shows both candidates ahead of the field with most voters still undecided ahead of the August 11 primary, and April candidate forums highlighted shared priorities on wages, unions, and public services that have kept attention on the top two contenders. Sara Rodriguez holds third position on the basis of her current role as lieutenant governor and early entry into the race, though trailing significantly behind the leaders. The crowded field and high undecided share leave room for shifts from additional endorsements or turnout efforts before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$56,956
Date de fin
11 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mandela Barnes leads trader consensus in the Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor due to his strong statewide name recognition from prior statewide campaigns and established fundraising base, while Francesca Hong has narrowed the gap through targeted progressive organizing and recent endorsements such as support from U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar. Polling from early 2026 shows both candidates ahead of the field with most voters still undecided ahead of the August 11 primary, and April candidate forums highlighted shared priorities on wages, unions, and public services that have kept attention on the top two contenders. Sara Rodriguez holds third position on the basis of her current role as lieutenant governor and early entry into the race, though trailing significantly behind the leaders. The crowded field and high undecided share leave room for shifts from additional endorsements or turnout efforts before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$56,956
Date de fin
11 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Gouverneur du Wisconsin Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mandela Barnes » à 50%, suivi de « Francesca Hong » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Gouverneur du Wisconsin Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique » a généré $57K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 11, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Gouverneur du Wisconsin Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gouverneur du Wisconsin Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique » est « Mandela Barnes » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Francesca Hong » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gouverneur du Wisconsin Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.