Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C or higher at 44.5% and 24°C at 33.5% for Istanbul's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 24-25°C amid persistent high pressure and southerly airflow favoring above-average warmth. This follows a recent warm spell, with observed highs reaching 24.5°C on May 12 and milder conditions around 20-21°C expected today (May 15), per model guidance and historical station data from Istanbul Atatürk Airport. Mid-May climatology averages 22°C, but current anticyclonic patterns suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating. Uncertainty lingers from potential Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling; watch Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) afternoon updates for refined outlooks before resolution via official maximum readings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
25°C or higher 45%
24°C 31%
23°C 15%
22°C 3.8%
नया
नया
16 मई, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
31%
25°C or higher
45%
25°C or higher 45%
24°C 31%
23°C 15%
22°C 3.8%
नया
नया
16 मई, 2026
15°C or below
$1,036 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$539 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$420 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$668 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$432 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$389 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$1,345 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C
$659 वॉल्यूम
4%
23°C
$390 वॉल्यूम
15%
24°C
$350 वॉल्यूम
31%
25°C or higher
$210 वॉल्यूम
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C or higher at 44.5% and 24°C at 33.5% for Istanbul's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 24-25°C amid persistent high pressure and southerly airflow favoring above-average warmth. This follows a recent warm spell, with observed highs reaching 24.5°C on May 12 and milder conditions around 20-21°C expected today (May 15), per model guidance and historical station data from Istanbul Atatürk Airport. Mid-May climatology averages 22°C, but current anticyclonic patterns suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating. Uncertainty lingers from potential Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling; watch Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) afternoon updates for refined outlooks before resolution via official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,439समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C or higher at 44.5% and 24°C at 33.5% for Istanbul's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 24-25°C amid persistent high pressure and southerly airflow favoring above-average warmth. This follows a recent warm spell, with observed highs reaching 24.5°C on May 12 and milder conditions around 20-21°C expected today (May 15), per model guidance and historical station data from Istanbul Atatürk Airport. Mid-May climatology averages 22°C, but current anticyclonic patterns suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating. Uncertainty lingers from potential Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling; watch Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) afternoon updates for refined outlooks before resolution via official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$6,439समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C or higher at 44.5% and 24°C at 33.5% for Istanbul's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 24-25°C amid persistent high pressure and southerly airflow favoring above-average warmth. This follows a recent warm spell, with observed highs reaching 24.5°C on May 12 and milder conditions around 20-21°C expected today (May 15), per model guidance and historical station data from Istanbul Atatürk Airport. Mid-May climatology averages 22°C, but current anticyclonic patterns suppress cloud cover and enhance solar heating. Uncertainty lingers from potential Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling; watch Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) afternoon updates for refined outlooks before resolution via official maximum readings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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