Trader consensus clusters tightly around 33°C and 34°C for Jakarta’s peak temperature on May 18 because the latest short-range ensemble forecasts show afternoon highs hovering near these thresholds under typical early-dry-season conditions. Scientific drivers include the strong urban heat island effect from the densely built capital, which adds 1–2 °C above surrounding rural areas, combined with light surface winds and high humidity that reduce nocturnal cooling and allow rapid daytime warming. Sea-breeze circulation from the Java Sea can arrive by mid-afternoon and cap the maximum depending on its arrival time, while scattered convective clouds may further limit insolation. Historical May station records average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the narrow spread in model guidance and the inherent uncertainty in exact timing of these local factors keep the two leading outcomes nearly even in implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को जकार्ता में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 44%
34°C 41%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
$14,990 वॉल्यूम
$14,990 वॉल्यूम
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
44%
34°C
41%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 41%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
$14,990 वॉल्यूम
$14,990 वॉल्यूम
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
44%
34°C
41%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 33°C and 34°C for Jakarta’s peak temperature on May 18 because the latest short-range ensemble forecasts show afternoon highs hovering near these thresholds under typical early-dry-season conditions. Scientific drivers include the strong urban heat island effect from the densely built capital, which adds 1–2 °C above surrounding rural areas, combined with light surface winds and high humidity that reduce nocturnal cooling and allow rapid daytime warming. Sea-breeze circulation from the Java Sea can arrive by mid-afternoon and cap the maximum depending on its arrival time, while scattered convective clouds may further limit insolation. Historical May station records average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the narrow spread in model guidance and the inherent uncertainty in exact timing of these local factors keep the two leading outcomes nearly even in implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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